That would be the betting pool in the offices of media firms or, just as likely, in a few casinos across the country where folks might have put money on the table concerning the real estate developer and television personality's likelihood of running for U.S. president.
A businessman to his core, what are the odds the brash, self-promoter will sink millions of dollars of his own money into a long-shot campaign for the highest office in the land?
The New York Times reported this week that Trump has sent them press clippings that tout the high ratings on his television show with references to his ratings in political polls.
Maybe Trump, a Republican who stars in "Celebrity Apprentice," thinks he would be running against Oprah Winfrey. He has said, since 1987, that he would consider a run for the White House, but his recent headline-grabbing platform has mostly been limited to challenging President Barack Obama's birth certificate.
Psst: Mr. Trump. You can't win the presidency by default.
That said, the dean of academic affairs at the Columbia School of Journalism, William Grueskin, said a shortage of real candidates was one of Trump's biggest assets.
"Out of this campaign coverage, all you get are a lot of empty media moments about someone who is unlikely to run, more unlikely to be nominated, and utterly unlikely to win."
For the Understatement of the Week ! wait for it !
"Trump and the press have a symbiotic relationship, not unlike bees and flowers," Grueskin said.